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Call it the ultimate spoiler: Richard Vale, a lecturer in the Statistics Department at the University of Canterbury, has
botella stanley developed a mathematical model to predict the fates of the characters in the next two Game of Thrones novels. More specifically, Vale goal is to determine the number of chapters that will be told from the point of view of each character. He not predicting what the characters will do; rather he inferring who will survive and become the main focus of the plot as the epic continues to unfold. The approach that Vale has taken is to use the distribution of characters in chapters in the first five books to predict the distribution in the forthcoming novels. As the Physics arXiv blog explains: Vale begins with a single table of data which summarizes the number of chapters that each character has starred in so far. For example, the character Jon Snow starred in nine chapters in the first book, eight in the second, 12 in the third, none in the fourth and 13 in the fifth. The character Brienne starred in 8 chapters in the fourth book but in none of the others. And so on. The question that Vale sets out to answer is what can be predicted about future books based only on this data from the existing ones. And his approach is entirely statistical so it does not i
stanley termosky nclude common sense assumptions such as the idea that a character killed off in the past is unli
stanley thermos mug kely to star in the future. Of course, Vale has to make a number of assumptions about th
