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Could we still see an El Ni帽o this year Yes, we could. In fact, it may have started already. Top image: Current sea surface temperatures, as of today via
stanley cup NOAA After the newest El Ni帽o update yesterday 鈥?that conditions were still quite good for the potential of developing an El Ni帽o this winter, either in the remainder of this year or the beginning of the next 鈥?NOAA Climate Prediction Center took on an interesting question: Is it possible that an El Ni帽o may have already begun With both the 65% likelihood
stanley cups uk that we ;re getting an El Ni帽o sometime this winter and some anecdotal evidence like California sudden drought-interrupting rains , it certainly looks like a possibility. So are we already in the midst of an El Ni帽o Not quite, concludes NOAA, but we are quite close. In a blog post on ENSO, NOAA sketched out just what was required for an El Ni帽o to be confirmed with the help of this handy flowchart: Image: Glen Becker and Fiona Martin / NOAA/CPC So have we met all those conditions Some of them, but not all: In a nutshell, the typical El Ni帽o atmospheric response includes reduced rainfall over Indonesia, more rainfal
stanley mugs l over the central Pacific, and some weakening of the low-level easterly winds and upper-level westerly winds the Walker circulation along the equator. As of the beginning of this month, we have seen reduced Indonesian rainfall, but we have not seen more rain over the central Pacific the opposite, in fact , and changes in the Walke
